Assessment of institutional capacity to adapt to climate change in transboundary river basins

TitleAssessment of institutional capacity to adapt to climate change in transboundary river basins
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2013
AuthorsMilman, Anita, Bunclark Lisa, Conway Declan, and Adger William Neil
JournalClimatic Change
Volume121
Pagination755 - 770
Date Published12/2013
ISSN1573-1480
Keywordsadaptive capacities, frameworks, River basins
Abstract

Responses to climate change in transboundary river basins are believed to depend on national and sub-national capacities as well as the ability of co-riparian nations to communicate, coordinate, and cooperate across their international boundaries. We develop the first framework for assessing transboundary adaptive capacity. The framework considers six dimensions of transboundary river basins that influence planning and implementation of adaptation measures and represents those dimensions using twelve measurable indicators. These indicators are used to assess transboundary adaptive capacity of 42 basins in the Middle East, Mediterranean, and Sahel. We then conduct a cluster analysis of those basins to delineate a typology that includes six categories of basins: High Capacity, Mediated Cooperation, Good Neighbour, Dependent Instability, Self-Sufficient, and Low Capacity. We find large variation in adaptive capacity across the study area; basins in Western Europe generally have higher capacities to address the potential hazards of climate change. Our basin typology points to how climate change adaptation policy interventions would be best targeted across the different categories of basins. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

DOI10.1007/s10584-013-0917-y