Improving the downscaling of climate model for impacts assessments

Project Type: 
Core Research Project
Project Leader: 
Research Partners: 
Brian Beckage (UVM), Arne Bomblies (UVM), Jonathan Winter (Dartmouth College)
Project Fellows: 
Status: 
Ongoing
Science Themes: 

We are improving downscaling of general circulation model (GCM) data for climate change impacts assessments in the Lake Champlain Basin as part of the VT Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research (EPSCoR).  This effort investigates the potential for using high-resolution topographic data to further downscale existing bias-corrected and statistically downscaled GCM simulations of temperature and precipitation. We find large changes in several impact variables of relevance to the region, including hot days, cold days, maple syrup production, and cooling degree days.

This project evaluates local projected changes in climate across, as well as drives high-resolution hydrologic and ecological models for, the Lake Champlain Basin.

Publications: 
Presentations: 
  • Coffel, E. Climate change and the impact of extreme temperature on aviation. ICNS 2015, April 21, 2015. Washington, DC.

  • Horton et al. AGU invited talk,"Joint Hazard Assessment for Urban Decision-Makers in the Northeastern United States."American Geophysical Union Annual Meeting, December 14-18, 2015.

  • Coffel, E. Economic impacts of more frequent weight restriction on the aviation industry. January 10-14, AMS 2016. New Orleans, LA.