Ambarish Karmalkar

The main focus of my work is producing and communicating physically consistent and spatially coherent information on climate change and associated uncertainties for impacts assessment. In particular, I am interested in developing methods to characterize and quantify uncertainties in model projections by using observations and by diagnosing model imperfections. At the NACS, I am working on understanding observed and projected climatic changes in the northeast US relevant for hydrological and ecological impacts.

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Other publications (not NE CASC-sponsored)

Karmalkar A. V., D. M. H. Sexton, J. Murphy, B. B. B. Booth, J. Rostron, and D. McNeall (2019). Finding plausible and diverse model variants of a climate model. Part II: Development and Validation of Methodology. Clim Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04617-3

D. M. H. Sexton, A. V. Karmalkar, J. Murphy, K. D. Williams, I. A. Boutle, C. J. Morcrette, A. J. Stirling, S. B. Vosper (2019). Finding plausible and diverse model variants of a climate model. Part I: Cheap experiments to assess model performance at weather and climate timescales. Clim Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04625-3

Karmalkar A. V., J. M. Thibeault, A. M. Bryan, A. Seth (2019). Identifying credible and diverse GCMs for regional climate change studies. Case study: Northeastern United States. Climatic Change. 154: 367-386. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02411-y

C. J. Kirchhoff, J. J. Barsugli, G. L. Galford, A. V. Karmalkar, K. Lombardo, S. Stephenson, M. Barlow, A. Seth, G. Wang (2019). Climate assessments for local action. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0138.1.