Appropriate ecological indicators of climate change can be used to measure concurrent changes in ecological systems, inform management decisions, and potentially to project the consequences of climate change. However, many of the available indicators for North American birds do not account for imperfect observation. We propose to use correlated-detection occupancy models to develop indicators from the North American Breeding Bird Survey data. The indicators will be used to test hypotheses regarding changes in range and distribution of breeding birds. The results will support the Northeast Climate Science Center’s Science Agenda, including the science priority: researching ecological vulnerability and species response to climate variability and change.
- Clement, M.J., J.E. Hines, J.D. Nichols, K.L. Pardieck, D.J. Ziolkowski Jr. 2016. Estimating indices of range shifts in birds using dynamic models when detection is imperfect. Global Change Biology.
Hines, J.E., J.R. Sauer, and M.J. Clement. Estimating Occupancy and Detection of Birds Using Stops along Breeding Bird Survey Routes as Replicates. American Ornithological Union Meeting, Norman, Oklahoma. July 29, 2015.
- News: Secretary Jewell Announces new Wildlife and Cilmate Studies at the NE CSC. December 18, 2014.