Climate Assessments and Scenario Planning (CLASP)

Research Partners: 
Raymond Bradley (UMass Amherst); Ambarish Karmalkar; Liang Ning (UMass Amherst); Ethan Coffel (Columbia University); Radley Horton (Columbia University); Michael Rawlins (UMass Amherst); Michelle Staudinger (UMass Amherst); Toni Lyn Morelli (UMass Amherst) Alexander Bryan ((UMass Amherst),
Science Themes: 

This project aims to compile, synthesize, and communicate tailored climate change information to NE CSC stakeholders, including Landscape Conservation Cooperatives (LCC), state and federal agencies, and tribal communities. Our mission is to make climate science actionable by getting to know our stakeholders and the decisions they face, and delivering climate information that is directly relevant to their decisions and priorities. First and foremost, our project team serves as a resource to answer individual inquiries related to climate model projections in order to aid climate change adaptation. Additionally, our team is contributing to the development of a synthesis document to help the Midwest and Northeast states prepare their threatened wildlife for climate change through their State Wildlife Action Plans (SWAP). Upcoming efforts include assisting tribal communities prepare their landscapes and economies for future climate, as well as helping urban planners in D.C. adapt and adjust their infrastructure for the future.  Many resource managers need information about how the climate is changing and the uncertainties in the climate model projections, as they relate to the resources they manage, to aid them in climate change adaptation planning.

  • Bryan, A. M., 2015. Translating global models to regional and local action: Finding certainty amidst the uncertainty. NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory. Princeton, NJ. January 20, 2015.
  • Bryan, A. M., K. P. Whyte, J. Mauchmar, F. Marsik, C. Caldwell, M. Schaefer: Assisting Tribes with Climate Change Adaptation as a Federal Agency, Midwest Fish and Wildlife Conference, Grand Rapids, MI, 26 Jan 2016.
  • Bryan, A. M., 2015. Climate projections and uncertainties for the region through 2100. "Moose, Boreal Forest and Climate Change -- State of the Science" workshop. Westborough, MA. February 4, 2015
  • Bryan, A. M.: Climate Change at Acadia Nat'l Park: What we know & what we don't, Acadia Scenario Planning Workshop, Bar Harbor, ME, 5 Oct 2015.
  • Staudinger, M. D., T. L. Morelli, and A. M. Bryan: Integrating Climate Change into Northeast and Midwest State Wildlife Action Plans, NE CSC webinar, Amherst, MA, 7 Oct 2015.
  • Bryan, A. M.: Little Traverse Bay Band's Shifting Seasons, Community Meeting on Climate Adaptation Planning, Little Traverse Bay Band of Odawa Indians Community Center, Harbor Springs, MI, 15 Oct 2015.
  • Bryan, A. M.: West Virginia's Changing Climate: Future Projections, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV, 14 Apr 2015.
  • Bryan, A. M., M. Staudinger, L. Ning, A. Coletti, A. Karmalkar, R. Bradley, T. L. Morelli, M. Ratnaswamy: Delivering management-relevant climate science in the Northeast, 2015 North Central CSC Open Science Conference, Fort Collins, CO, 20 May 2015.
  • Terando, A., A. Wootten, M. Eaton, M. Runge, J. Littell, A. Bryan, and S. Carter: Quantifying the Value of Downscaled Climate Model Information for Adaptation Decisions: When is Downscaling a Smart Decision?, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, 14 Dec 2015.
  • Bryan, A. M. and T. L. Morelli: Informing climate change adaptation in the Northeast and Midwest United States: The role of Climate Science Centers, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, 18 Dec 2015.
  • Bryan, A. M.: Climate Trends for COLO, Colonial National Historical Park, Yorktown, VA, June 1, 2016.
  • Bryan, A.M.: Overview of climate change and impacts in the region, Institute for Tribal Environmental Professionals (ITEP) training: Climate Change Adaptation Planning, Red Cliff, WI, July 12, 2016.
  • Bradley, B.;  Bryan, A. M.: Implications of climate change for invasive species, Northeast Invasive Species and Climate Change (NISCC) Workshop, Amherst, MA, Jul 21, 2016.
  • Bryan,  A. M.: Climate Change - An overview for the Menominee Indian Tribe of Wisconsin, Menominee Reservation, WI, Aug 1, 2016.
  • Bryan, A. M.:  Climate Change: An overview for the Menominee Indian Tribe of Wisconsin, Menominee Reservation, WI, Sep 6, 2016.
  • Bryan, A. M., NE CSC: Adapting our land, water, wildlife and cultural resources to climate change, Great Lakes Adaptation Forum, Ann Arbor, MI, Oct 5, 2016.
  • Bryan, A. M., Gates, Omar (GLISA): Climate Change in the Great Lakes Region, Great Lakes Adaptation Forum, Ann Arbor, MI, Oct 5, 2016.
  • Bryan, A. M.: Indigenous Communities: Approaches, Successes, and Challenges in Tribal and First Nations Adaptation Planning, Session Convener, Great Lakes Adaptation Forum, Ann Arbor, MI, Oct 6, 2016.
  • Bryan, A. M.: Different Climate Models, Different Forecasts: When does it affect my decision?, National Climate Science Centers Student and Early Career Training, Amherst, MA, Nov 2, 2016.
  • Bryan, A. M.: Planning Under Uncertainty: Conveying our Science to Help Managers Move Forward, National Climate Science Centers Student and Early Career Training, Amherst, MA, Nov 3, 2016.
  • Bryan, A. M.: Climate Change Science: A Western Perspective, United Southern and Eastern Tribes (USET) Climate Workshop, Oneida, NY, Nov 9, 2016.
  • Kearney E, Bryan A M, Karmalkar A, Morelli T L: When does choice of downscaling method matter in decision making? A case study with maple syrup production, American Geophysical Union, San Francisco, CA, Dec 12, 2016.
  • NE CSC Seminar Series: "A sticky situation:When maple syrup producers receive  conflicting guidance from different climate models" March 8, 2017
  • National Adaptation Forum session co-lead: "Incorporating Future Climate Projections into Adaptation Planning: A Layman's Guide" May 11, 2017.
  • Bryan, A.M. "Scenario Planning: Managing for a Range of Possible Futures" NE CSC Regional Science Meeting. May 15, 2017. 
  • Climate change 101 and impact assessment for New Bedford Whaling National Park in New Bedford, MA. June 28, 2017
  • Climate change 101 and impact assessment for Fire Island National Seashore. Long Island. Aug/Sep, 2017